WP 3: Hazards, Vulnerability, and Risk Analysis

Risk mitigation strategies are at the core of geothermal reservoir efficiency, reliability, and safety. While the overall conceptual framework for quantitative and risk-based assessment strategies exists, there is still a crucial need to implement and apply de-risking approaches throughout the entire project life, rather than just during the stimulation phases. GEOTWINS will develop DTCs and workflow to explore the seismic risk associated with any stage of the project life.

Lead: GFZ Potsdam and UNITN

Participants: ETH Zurich, GES, MONDAIC, VITO, INGV

Contact: Cecilia Nievas and Marco Broccardo

Tasks WP 3

Task 3.1: Development of pre-project risk assessment strategies

Task 3.2: Ground shaking modelling

Task 3.3: Estimation of real-time and prospective damage, losses, and nuisance at any stage of the project

Task 3.4: Expansion of ATLS to multi-stage EGS and post-stimulation

Deliverables WP 3

D 3.1: Pre-project risk assessment testing prototype: deployment and testing of pre-project risk profile assessment tool.

D 3.2: Ground shaking models for small-to-moderate magnitude earthquakes: deployment and testing of dynamic ground motion models for induced seismicity applications.

D 3.3: DTCs for damage, losses, and nuisance estimation: deployment and testing of tools for cumulative damage and loss estimation due to induced seismicity.

D 3.4: Testing of ATLS to multi-stage systems: demonstration of extended-ATLS workflow at project demonstration sites.

A list of all deliverables for GEOTWINS is available here